Picks for Wednesday 28 October

Wednesday 28 October

6 of 7 top picks won

Expected about 6 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 191 of 231 top picks won. Expected about 185.

Trial leagues (4 shown): 4 of 4 won

Expected about 3 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 66 of 77 trial picks won. Expected about 62.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price then 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

VeneziaInter02

79' Moreno (og), 82' Halhal (og)

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 68% · Price then 1.39

ParmaUdinese00

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price then 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

CelticDundee Utd22

18' Duran, 28' Sapsford, 31' Farrugia, 65' Scales

· Premiership, Scotland

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.16

DundeeKilmarnock31

32' Bevan, 75' Hugill (pen), 83' Hay, 90+4' Hay

· Premiership, Scotland

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.21

MonzaNapoli14

10' Hojlund, 43' Varela, 48' Politano, 62' Zamora, 67' Bruyne

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 70% · Price then 1.35

GenoaJuventus20

12' Ehizibue, 28' Baldanzi

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.18

Heart Of MidlothianRangers22

16' Kelsy, 48' Braga, 57' Miller, 89' Makhanya

· Premiership, Scotland

See the match

Trial leagues (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.16

CarlisleHarrogate Town30

9' Williams, 46' Whelan, 61' Galvin

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

Forest GreenEastleigh20

28' Grigg, 76' Mabete

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.22

Sutton UtdAldershot Town20

1' Carter, 11' Ogbonna

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

RB BragantinoChapecoense-sc30

43' Yan, 51' Yan, 90' Mosquera

· Serie A, Brazil

New league for us: our record here is still building (12 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Serie A, Italy

Genoa v Juventus

Final score Genoa 2, Juventus 0.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 70% · Price then 1.35

Each of Juventus's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Genoa win 27%, Draw 26%, Juventus win 47%.

Why this pick

Genoa host Juventus in the Serie A, Italy.

Our model gives a 76% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 70%.

The model expects Genoa to score 1.1 goals and Juventus 1.6.

5 of Genoa's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 6 of Juventus's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Genoa have scored 1.2 goals a game and conceded 1.2 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Juventus have scored 1.6 goals a game and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Tue 27 Oct, 20:08 GMT. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Tue 27 Oct, 20:06 GMT. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.