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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga Alef, Israel

Hapoel Beit Shean v Hapoel Nazareth Illit

Final score Hapoel Beit Shean 1, Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Hapoel Beit Shean win 29%, Draw 26%, Hapoel Nazareth Illit win 45%.

What the data says

Hapoel Beit Shean host Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the Liga Alef, Israel.

Our model gives Hapoel Beit Shean a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 45%.

The model expects Hapoel Beit Shean to score 1.1 goals and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.6.

Hapoel Beit Shean have won 2 of their last 3 league matches; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have won 4 of 5.

Top factors

  • Hapoel Beit Shean sit 21st with 6 points; Hapoel Nazareth Illit sit 8th with 12 points.
  • Hapoel Beit Shean have taken 6 points from their last 3 matches; Hapoel Nazareth Illit 12 from 5.
  • At home, Hapoel Beit Shean have taken 3 points from their last 1; away, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have taken 9 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.