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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 3, Georgia

Iberia 2010 v Gardabani

Final score Iberia 2010 3, Gardabani 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Iberia 2010 win 44%, Draw 25%, Gardabani win 31%.

What the data says

Iberia 2010 host Gardabani in the Liga 3, Georgia.

Our model gives Iberia 2010 a 44% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Gardabani 31%.

The model expects Iberia 2010 to score 1.6 goals and Gardabani 1.3.

Iberia 2010 have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Gardabani have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Iberia 2010 sit 16th with 11 points; Gardabani sit 13th with 16 points.
  • Iberia 2010 have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Gardabani 3 from 5.
  • At home, Iberia 2010 have taken 5 points from their last 3; away, Gardabani have taken 0 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.