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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 1, Moldova

Iskra v FCM Ungheni

Final score Iskra 2, FCM Ungheni 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Iskra win 47%, Draw 21%, FCM Ungheni win 32%.

What the data says

Iskra host FCM Ungheni in the Liga 1, Moldova.

Our model gives Iskra a 47% chance of winning, a draw 21% and FCM Ungheni 32%.

The model expects Iskra to score 2.1 goals and FCM Ungheni 1.8.

Iskra have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; FCM Ungheni have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Iskra sit 2nd with 18 points; FCM Ungheni sit 4th with 14 points.
  • Iskra have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; FCM Ungheni 7 from 5.
  • At home, Iskra have taken 9 points from their last 3; away, FCM Ungheni have taken 7 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.