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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 3, Georgia

Iveria Khashuri v Betlemi

Final score Iveria Khashuri 8, Betlemi 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Iveria Khashuri win 45%, Draw 24%, Betlemi win 32%.

What the data says

Iveria Khashuri host Betlemi in the Liga 3, Georgia.

Our model gives Iveria Khashuri a 45% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Betlemi 32%.

The model expects Iveria Khashuri to score 1.7 goals and Betlemi 1.4.

Iveria Khashuri have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; Betlemi have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Iveria Khashuri sit 15th with 14 points; Betlemi sit 14th with 16 points.
  • Iveria Khashuri have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Betlemi 6 from 5.
  • At home, Iveria Khashuri have taken 2 points from their last 3; away, Betlemi have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.