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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 3, Georgia

Kolkheti Khobi v Margveti 2006

Final score Kolkheti Khobi 2, Margveti 2006 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Kolkheti Khobi win 47%, Draw 23%, Margveti 2006 win 30%.

What the data says

Kolkheti Khobi host Margveti 2006 in the Liga 3, Georgia.

Our model gives Kolkheti Khobi a 47% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Margveti 2006 30%.

The model expects Kolkheti Khobi to score 1.9 goals and Margveti 2006 1.5.

Kolkheti Khobi have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Margveti 2006 have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Kolkheti Khobi sit 12th with 24 points; Margveti 2006 sit 11th with 30 points.
  • Kolkheti Khobi have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches; Margveti 2006 9 from 5.
  • At home, Kolkheti Khobi have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Margveti 2006 have taken 6 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.