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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Segunda División, Spain

Leganes v Cordoba

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Leganes win 40%, Draw 26%, Cordoba win 34%.

What the data says

Leganes host Cordoba in the Segunda División, Spain.

Our model gives Leganes a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Cordoba 34%.

The model expects Leganes to score 1.4 goals and Cordoba 1.3.

Leganes have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Cordoba have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Leganes sit 16th with 11 points; Cordoba sit 18th with 9 points.
  • Leganes have taken 3 points from their last 5 matches; Cordoba 6 from 5.
  • At home, Leganes have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, Cordoba have taken 3 from their last 4.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.