Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 2. liga, Slovakia

Liptovský Mikuláš v Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Liptovský Mikuláš win 54%, Draw 23%, Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win 24%.

What the data says

Liptovský Mikuláš host Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom in the 2. liga, Slovakia.

Our model gives Liptovský Mikuláš a 54% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 24%.

The model expects Liptovský Mikuláš to score 1.9 goals and Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1.2.

Liptovský Mikuláš have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Liptovský Mikuláš sit 9th with 16 points; Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom sit 10th with 16 points.
  • Liptovský Mikuláš have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 6 from 5.
  • At home, Liptovský Mikuláš have taken 5 points from their last 3; away, Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom have taken 0 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.