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Yesterday: 16 of 20 picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Sunday 11 October · 19 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.12

UtrechtWillem II

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Utrecht's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.18

ComoAS Roma

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Como's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.19

SouthamptonPortsmouth

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Southampton's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.31

ElcheCelta Vigo

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Elche's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (7)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.13

PEC ZwolleCambuur

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of PEC Zwolle's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.14

TelstarADO Den Haag

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of ADO Den Haag's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

NiceStrasbourg

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Strasbourg's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.26

LazioMonza

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Monza's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

85%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.13

1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of 1. FC Köln's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price 1.23

Real SociedadDeportivo La Coruna

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Deportivo La Coruna's last 3 away matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

ExcelsiorGroningen

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting later (8)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

RennesAuxerre

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

4 of Rennes's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

3 of SC Freiburg's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.22

SassuoloAC Milan

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.23

Real BetisOsasuna

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Osasuna's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

BenficaVitória SC

Last 5 games

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

Each of Benfica's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.17

Estac TroyesMarseille

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Estac Troyes's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

Racing SantanderValencia

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Racing Santander's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.25

AroucaEstrela

Last 5 games

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

Each of Estrela's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Serie D - Girone E, Italy

Lucchese v Ternana

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Lucchese win 40%, Draw 27%, Ternana win 33%.

What the data says

Lucchese host Ternana in the Serie D - Girone E, Italy.

Our model gives Lucchese a 40% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Ternana 33%.

The model expects Lucchese to score 1.4 goals and Ternana 1.3.

Lucchese have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Ternana have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Lucchese sit 3rd with 13 points; Ternana sit 9th with 8 points.
  • Lucchese have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches; Ternana 8 from 5.
  • At home, Lucchese have taken 9 points from their last 3; away, Ternana have taken 1 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.