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Yesterday: 16 of 20 picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Sunday 11 October · 19 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.12

UtrechtWillem II

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Utrecht's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.18

ComoAS Roma

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Como's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.19

SouthamptonPortsmouth

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Southampton's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.31

ElcheCelta Vigo

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Elche's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (8)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.13

PEC ZwolleCambuur

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of PEC Zwolle's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.14

TelstarADO Den Haag

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of ADO Den Haag's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

79%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

NiceStrasbourg

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Strasbourg's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.26

LazioMonza

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Monza's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

85%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price 1.13

1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of 1. FC Köln's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price 1.23

Real SociedadDeportivo La Coruna

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Deportivo La Coruna's last 3 away matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

ExcelsiorGroningen

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

RennesAuxerre

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

4 of Rennes's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting later (7)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

3 of SC Freiburg's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.22

SassuoloAC Milan

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price 1.23

Real BetisOsasuna

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Osasuna's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

BenficaVitória SC

Last 5 games

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

Each of Benfica's last 7 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

78%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price 1.17

Estac TroyesMarseille

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Estac Troyes's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

Racing SantanderValencia

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

Each of Racing Santander's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price 1.25

AroucaEstrela

Last 5 games

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

Each of Estrela's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Bundesliga, Germany

SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price 1.18

3 of SC Freiburg's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: SC Freiburg win 63%, Draw 19%, FC Schalke 04 win 18%.

Why this pick

SC Freiburg host FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Our model gives an 82% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 79%.

The model expects SC Freiburg to score 2.3 goals and FC Schalke 04 1.1.

3 of SC Freiburg's last 4 league matches had two or more goals; 2 of FC Schalke 04's last 4 did.

Top factors

  • At home, SC Freiburg have scored 4.0 goals a game and conceded 0.8 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, FC Schalke 04 have scored 2.2 goals a game and conceded 1.6 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Sun 11 Oct, 00:29 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Sun 11 Oct, 00:26 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.