Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , First League, Bulgaria

Ludogorets v Arda Kardzhali

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Ludogorets win 51%, Draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali win 23%.

What the data says

Ludogorets host Arda Kardzhali in the First League, Bulgaria.

Our model gives Ludogorets a 51% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Arda Kardzhali 23%.

The model expects Ludogorets to score 1.6 goals and Arda Kardzhali 0.9.

Ludogorets have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Arda Kardzhali have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Ludogorets sit 3rd with 23 points; Arda Kardzhali sit 6th with 17 points.
  • Ludogorets have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches; Arda Kardzhali 7 from 5.
  • At home, Ludogorets have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Arda Kardzhali have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.