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Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

Lugo v UD Logroñés

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Lugo win 41%, Draw 29%, UD Logroñés win 30%.

What the data says

Lugo host UD Logroñés in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, Spain.

Our model gives Lugo a 41% chance of winning, a draw 29% and UD Logroñés 30%.

The model expects Lugo to score 1.3 goals and UD Logroñés 1.1.

Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; UD Logroñés have won 5 of 6.

Top factors

  • Lugo sit 2nd with 16 points; UD Logroñés sit 1st with 16 points.
  • Lugo have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; UD Logroñés 13 from 5.
  • At home, Lugo have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, UD Logroñés have taken 9 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.