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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League, Kyrgyzstan

Muras United v Talant

Final score Muras United 2, Talant 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Muras United win 53%, Draw 24%, Talant win 23%.

What the data says

Muras United host Talant in the Premier League, Kyrgyzstan.

Our model gives Muras United a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Talant 23%.

The model expects Muras United to score 1.7 goals and Talant 1.0.

Muras United have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Talant have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Muras United sit 5th with 47 points; Talant sit 7th with 33 points.
  • Muras United have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Talant 13 from 5.
  • At home, Muras United have taken 4 points from their last 2; away, Talant have taken 10 from their last 5.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.