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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Premier League 2 Division One, England

Nottingham Forest U21 v Manchester United U21

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Nottingham Forest U21 win 36%, Draw 24%, Manchester United U21 win 40%.

What the data says

Nottingham Forest U21 host Manchester United U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, England.

Our model gives Nottingham Forest U21 a 36% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Manchester United U21 40%.

The model expects Nottingham Forest U21 to score 1.5 goals and Manchester United U21 1.7.

Nottingham Forest U21 have won 3 of their last 4 league matches; Manchester United U21 have won 3 of 3.

Top factors

  • Nottingham Forest U21 sit 7th with 9 points; Manchester United U21 sit 4th with 9 points.
  • Nottingham Forest U21 have taken 9 points from their last 4 matches; Manchester United U21 9 from 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.