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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 1st Division, Albania

Oriku v Flamurtari

Final score Oriku 1, Flamurtari 4.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Oriku win 28%, Draw 28%, Flamurtari win 44%.

What the data says

Oriku host Flamurtari in the 1st Division, Albania.

Our model gives Oriku a 28% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Flamurtari 44%.

The model expects Oriku to score 1.0 goals and Flamurtari 1.4.

Oriku have won 0 of their last 5 league matches; Flamurtari have won 1 of 5.

Top factors

  • Oriku sit 12th with 0 points; Flamurtari sit 6th with 6 points.
  • Oriku have taken 0 points from their last 5 matches; Flamurtari 6 from 5.
  • At home, Oriku have taken 0 points from their last 2; away, Flamurtari have taken 2 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.