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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Campionato Primavera - 1, Italy

Parma U20 v Bologna U20

Final score Parma U20 5, Bologna U20 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Parma U20 win 42%, Draw 24%, Bologna U20 win 34%.

What the data says

Parma U20 host Bologna U20 in the Campionato Primavera - 1, Italy.

Our model gives Parma U20 a 42% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Bologna U20 34%.

The model expects Parma U20 to score 1.6 goals and Bologna U20 1.5.

Parma U20 have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Bologna U20 have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Parma U20 sit 2nd with 12 points; Bologna U20 sit 4th with 12 points.
  • Parma U20 have taken 11 points from their last 5 matches; Bologna U20 9 from 5.
  • At home, Parma U20 have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Bologna U20 have taken 6 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.