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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Second League, Egypt

Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Final score Pharco 1, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Pharco win 46%, Draw 30%, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win 23%.

What the data says

Pharco host Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat in the Second League, Egypt.

Our model gives Pharco a 46% chance of winning, a draw 30% and Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 23%.

The model expects Pharco to score 1.2 goals and Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 0.8.

Pharco have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Pharco sit 7th with 16 points; Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat sit 5th with 17 points.
  • Pharco have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 12 from 5.
  • At home, Pharco have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.