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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , III Liga - Group 3, Poland

Polonia Nysa v Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Polonia Nysa win 38%, Draw 27%, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win 36%.

What the data says

Polonia Nysa host Karkonosze Jelenia Góra in the III Liga - Group 3, Poland.

Our model gives Polonia Nysa a 38% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 36%.

The model expects Polonia Nysa to score 1.4 goals and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.4.

Polonia Nysa have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Polonia Nysa sit 15th with 11 points; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th with 18 points.
  • Polonia Nysa have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 9 from 5.
  • At home, Polonia Nysa have taken 0 points from their last 3; away, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have taken 0 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.