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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 1, Indonesia

PSIM Yogyakarta v PSM Makassar

Final score PSIM Yogyakarta 1, PSM Makassar 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: PSIM Yogyakarta win 46%, Draw 25%, PSM Makassar win 28%.

What the data says

PSIM Yogyakarta host PSM Makassar in the Liga 1, Indonesia.

Our model gives PSIM Yogyakarta a 46% chance of winning, a draw 25% and PSM Makassar 28%.

The model expects PSIM Yogyakarta to score 1.6 goals and PSM Makassar 1.2.

PSIM Yogyakarta have won 0 of their last 4 league matches; PSM Makassar have won 0 of 4.

Top factors

  • PSIM Yogyakarta sit 16th with 1 point; PSM Makassar sit 15th with 2 points.
  • PSIM Yogyakarta have taken 1 point from their last 4 matches; PSM Makassar 2 from 4.
  • At home, PSIM Yogyakarta have taken 1 point from their last 2; away, PSM Makassar have taken 0 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.