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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Bundesliga, Austria

Rapid Vienna v TSV Hartberg

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Rapid Vienna win 53%, Draw 23%, TSV Hartberg win 24%.

What the data says

Rapid Vienna host TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga, Austria.

Our model gives Rapid Vienna a 53% chance of winning, a draw 23% and TSV Hartberg 24%.

The model expects Rapid Vienna to score 1.9 goals and TSV Hartberg 1.1.

Rapid Vienna have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; TSV Hartberg have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Rapid Vienna sit 1st with 21 points; TSV Hartberg sit 6th with 11 points.
  • Rapid Vienna have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; TSV Hartberg 11 from 5.
  • At home, Rapid Vienna have taken 9 points from their last 3; away, TSV Hartberg have taken 4 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.