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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Pro League A, Uzbekistan

Respublika FA v Olimpik-Mobiuz

Final score Respublika FA 2, Olimpik-Mobiuz 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Respublika FA win 24%, Draw 23%, Olimpik-Mobiuz win 53%.

What the data says

Respublika FA host Olimpik-Mobiuz in the Pro League A, Uzbekistan.

Our model gives Respublika FA a 24% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Olimpik-Mobiuz 53%.

The model expects Respublika FA to score 1.1 goals and Olimpik-Mobiuz 2.0.

Respublika FA have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Olimpik-Mobiuz have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • Respublika FA sit 9th with 25 points; Olimpik-Mobiuz sit 8th with 32 points.
  • Respublika FA have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Olimpik-Mobiuz 7 from 5.
  • At home, Respublika FA have taken 3 points from their last 3; away, Olimpik-Mobiuz have taken 3 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.