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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Youth Championship, Russia

Rodina Moscow U19 v Fakel U19

Final score Rodina Moscow U19 5, Fakel U19 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Rodina Moscow U19 win 77%, Draw 12%, Fakel U19 win 11%.

What the data says

Rodina Moscow U19 host Fakel U19 in the Youth Championship, Russia.

Our model gives Rodina Moscow U19 a 77% chance of winning, a draw 12% and Fakel U19 11%.

The model expects Rodina Moscow U19 to score 3.1 goals and Fakel U19 1.0.

Rodina Moscow U19 have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Fakel U19 have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Rodina Moscow U19 sit 4th with 51 points; Fakel U19 sit 15th with 16 points.
  • Rodina Moscow U19 have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; Fakel U19 4 from 5.
  • At home, Rodina Moscow U19 have taken 9 points from their last 3; away, Fakel U19 have taken 1 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.