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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Youth Championship, Russia

Rubin Kazan U20 v Spartak Moskva U19

Final score Rubin Kazan U20 4, Spartak Moskva U19 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Rubin Kazan U20 win 29%, Draw 24%, Spartak Moskva U19 win 47%.

What the data says

Rubin Kazan U20 host Spartak Moskva U19 in the Youth Championship, Russia.

Our model gives Rubin Kazan U20 a 29% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Spartak Moskva U19 47%.

The model expects Rubin Kazan U20 to score 1.3 goals and Spartak Moskva U19 1.8.

Rubin Kazan U20 have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; Spartak Moskva U19 have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Rubin Kazan U20 sit 16th with 15 points; Spartak Moskva U19 sit 8th with 31 points.
  • Rubin Kazan U20 have taken 0 points from their last 5 matches; Spartak Moskva U19 5 from 5.
  • At home, Rubin Kazan U20 have taken 0 points from their last 2; away, Spartak Moskva U19 have taken 1 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.