Picks for Tuesday 20 October

Tuesday 20 October

9 of 10 top picks won

Expected about 8 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 118 of 143 top picks won. Expected about 114.

Trial leagues (10 shown): 10 of 10 won

Expected about 8 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 26 of 30 trial picks won. Expected about 24.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

Sabah FABorussia Dortmund12

10' Guirassy, 39' McCarthy, 53' Guirassy

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.16

FenerbahçeSlavia Praha22

4' Aydın, 11' Greenwood, 15' Provod, 90' Kacor

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.23

WolvesPortsmouth11

62' James, 86' Devlin

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

89%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 92% · Price then 1.03

Short price: returns 3p for every £1 if it wins

Paris Saint GermainBarcelona42

38' Doue, 55' Espart, 72' Hernández, 79' Yamal, 81' Vitinha, 86' Ruiz

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

LiverpoolVillarreal43

4' Mikautadze, 29' Bermúdez, 36' Allister, 45+2' Araujo, 65' Allister, 68' Wirtz, 87' Oluwaseyi

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

VfB StuttgartAtletico Madrid11

36' Leweling, 47' Álvarez

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

NapoliBodo/Glimt43

1' Politano, 27' Hauge, 41' McTominay, 62' Helmersen, 75' McTominay, 88' Bjortuft (og), 90+4' Fet

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.05

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

AS RomaSlovan Bratislava40

21' Hermoso, 39' Molina, 52' Pisilli, 58' Malen (pen)

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven01

57' Til

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

Manchester CityAEK Athens FC51

12' Anderson, 34' Foden, 52' Pilios, 57' Cherki, 65' Foden, 76' Foden

· UEFA Champions League

See the match

Trial leagues (10)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.24

ASA Targu MuresChindia Targoviste24

1' Camara, 21' Camara, 26' Celea (og), 29' Baluta, 45' Moga, 75' Mihai

· Liga II, Romania

New league for us: our record here is still building (27 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.10

Short price: returns 10p for every £1 if it wins

LutonBarnsley21

2' Andersen, 41' Wells, 58' Kirk

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

HuddersfieldPeterborough41

3' Bronkhorst, 66' Taylor, 68' Leonard, 70' Taylor, 79' Mumba

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

BarnetSwindon Town13

8' Clark, 35' Drinan, 37' Drinan, 90' Tshimanga

· League Two, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (14 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.16

BlackpoolMilton Keynes Dons20

69' Anderson, 77' Taylor

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.26

Oxford UnitedWigan21

44' Helik, 69' Saydee, 76' Andrews

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

BromleyLeicester04

4' Thomas-Alves, 16' Lundstram, 45+2' Thomas, 67' Jakobsen

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.21

DoncasterStockport County02

53' Jobe, 59' Wootton

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.20

Cambridge UnitedWycombe22

44' Wareham, 61' Wareham, 78' Lavery, 90+2' Taylor (og)

· League One, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (37 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 73% · Price then 1.27

RotherhamNewport County22

4' Mullin (pen), 12' Nemane, 28' Biggins (pen), 54' Garner

· League Two, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (14 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , UEFA Champions League

Sabah FA v Borussia Dortmund

Final score Sabah FA 1, Borussia Dortmund 2.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.09

Short price: returns 9p for every £1 if it wins

Each of Sabah FA's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Sabah FA win 57%, Draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund win 22%.

Why this pick

Sabah FA host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League.

Our model gives an 82% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 85%.

The model expects Sabah FA to score 2.2 goals and Borussia Dortmund 1.2.

Top factors

  • At home, Sabah FA have scored 3.0 goals a game and conceded 0.6 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Borussia Dortmund have scored 1.8 goals a game and conceded 0.6 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Mon 19 Oct, 20:11 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Mon 19 Oct, 20:11 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.