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Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Carioca B2, Brazil

Santa Cruz RJ v Barra Mansa

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Santa Cruz RJ win 47%, Draw 27%, Barra Mansa win 26%.

What the data says

Santa Cruz RJ host Barra Mansa in the Carioca B2, Brazil.

Our model gives Santa Cruz RJ a 47% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Barra Mansa 26%.

The model expects Santa Cruz RJ to score 1.5 goals and Barra Mansa 1.0.

Santa Cruz RJ have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Barra Mansa have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Santa Cruz RJ sit 5th with 12 points; Barra Mansa sit 10th with 7 points.
  • Santa Cruz RJ have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; Barra Mansa 5 from 5.
  • At home, Santa Cruz RJ have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Barra Mansa have taken 2 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.