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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Primera A, Colombia

Santa Fe v Jaguares

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Santa Fe win 69%, Draw 18%, Jaguares win 13%.

What the data says

Santa Fe host Jaguares in the Primera A, Colombia.

Our model gives Santa Fe a 69% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Jaguares 13%.

The model expects Santa Fe to score 2.2 goals and Jaguares 0.7.

Santa Fe have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Jaguares have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Santa Fe sit 3rd with 57 points; Jaguares sit 19th with 28 points.
  • Santa Fe have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Jaguares 4 from 5.
  • At home, Santa Fe have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Jaguares have taken 1 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.