Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Major League Soccer, USA

St. Louis City v Los Angeles Galaxy

Final score St. Louis City 6, Los Angeles Galaxy 2.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: St. Louis City win 58%, Draw 21%, Los Angeles Galaxy win 22%.

What the data says

St. Louis City host Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer, USA.

Our model gives St. Louis City a 58% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Los Angeles Galaxy 22%.

The model expects St. Louis City to score 2.2 goals and Los Angeles Galaxy 1.2.

St. Louis City have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Los Angeles Galaxy have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • St. Louis City sit 5th with 47 points; Los Angeles Galaxy sit 17th with 36 points.
  • St. Louis City have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Los Angeles Galaxy 10 from 5.
  • At home, St. Louis City have taken 7 points from their last 3; away, Los Angeles Galaxy have taken 3 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.