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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 1. Division, Kazakhstan

Taraz v Kaspij Aktau 2

Final score Taraz 5, Kaspij Aktau 2 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Taraz win 62%, Draw 21%, Kaspij Aktau 2 win 18%.

What the data says

Taraz host Kaspij Aktau 2 in the 1. Division, Kazakhstan.

Our model gives Taraz a 62% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Kaspij Aktau 2 18%.

The model expects Taraz to score 2.1 goals and Kaspij Aktau 2 1.0.

Taraz have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Kaspij Aktau 2 have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Taraz sit 7th with 31 points; Kaspij Aktau 2 sit 10th with 28 points.
  • Taraz have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; Kaspij Aktau 2 3 from 5.
  • At home, Taraz have taken 5 points from their last 3; away, Kaspij Aktau 2 have taken 1 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.