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Yesterday: 14 of 19 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Monday 12 October · 3 picks

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Starting later (3)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price 1.15

AtalantaVenezia

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Venezia's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

81%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price 1.33

LevanteSevilla

Last 5 games

· La Liga, Spain

4 of Levante's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

76%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.20

CoventryNewcastle

Last 5 games

· Premier League, England

Each of Newcastle's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Segunda División, Spain

Tenerife v Girona

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Tenerife win 28%, Draw 26%, Girona win 46%.

What the data says

Tenerife host Girona in the Segunda División, Spain.

Our model gives Tenerife a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Girona 46%.

The model expects Tenerife to score 1.1 goals and Girona 1.6.

Tenerife have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Girona have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Tenerife sit 13th with 11 points; Girona sit 6th with 14 points.
  • Tenerife have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Girona 10 from 5.
  • At home, Tenerife have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Girona have taken 6 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.