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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , 1. Division, Kazakhstan

Turan Turkistan v Shakhter Karagandy

Final score Turan Turkistan 1, Shakhter Karagandy 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Turan Turkistan win 38%, Draw 26%, Shakhter Karagandy win 36%.

What the data says

Turan Turkistan host Shakhter Karagandy in the 1. Division, Kazakhstan.

Our model gives Turan Turkistan a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Shakhter Karagandy 36%.

The model expects Turan Turkistan to score 1.4 goals and Shakhter Karagandy 1.4.

Turan Turkistan have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Shakhter Karagandy have won 5 of 6.

Top factors

  • Turan Turkistan sit 3rd with 51 points; Shakhter Karagandy sit 1st with 65 points.
  • Turan Turkistan have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches; Shakhter Karagandy 13 from 5.
  • At home, Turan Turkistan have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, Shakhter Karagandy have taken 6 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.