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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 1, Moldova

Univer Comrat v Spartanii Selemet

Final score Univer Comrat 5, Spartanii Selemet 4.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Univer Comrat win 60%, Draw 17%, Spartanii Selemet win 23%.

What the data says

Univer Comrat host Spartanii Selemet in the Liga 1, Moldova.

Our model gives Univer Comrat a 60% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Spartanii Selemet 23%.

The model expects Univer Comrat to score 2.7 goals and Spartanii Selemet 1.6.

Univer Comrat have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Spartanii Selemet have won 1 of 6.

Top factors

  • Univer Comrat sit 8th with 9 points; Spartanii Selemet sit 11th with 4 points.
  • Univer Comrat have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Spartanii Selemet 3 from 5.
  • At home, Univer Comrat have taken 2 points from their last 2; away, Spartanii Selemet have taken 0 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.