KickChance
Sign inCreate account

Picks for Saturday 24 October

Saturday 24 October

15 of 20 top picks won

Expected about 16 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 166 of 200 top picks won. Expected about 160.

Other picks: 3 of 5 won

Trial leagues (10 shown): 9 of 10 won

Expected about 8 from their win chances.

Since 9 Oct: 45 of 52 trial picks won. Expected about 42.

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

9 October 2026: the record starts on this date. Picks on 7 and 8 October were chosen before we limited picks to 15 major leagues, so they're shown but not counted. Their results: 7 October, 11 of 16 top picks won; 8 October, 12 of 17 top picks won.

From 1 November 2026, the record counts the day's top 10 picks by win chance. Before that it counted the top 20.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 76% · Price then 1.23

Sheffield UtdDerby11

37' Clark, 79' Bamford

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.27

Rayo VallecanoElche03

23' Solari (pen), 36' Rodríguez (pen), 68' Valera

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

ComoSassuolo20

49' Douvikas, 60' Douvikas

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

RB LeipzigSV Elversberg40

48' Gomis, 66' Cruz, 84' Baumgartner, 90+4' Cruz

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

84%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FC AugsburgUnion Berlin11

71' Massengo, 74' Haberer

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 81% · Price then 1.15

FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen23

7' Füllkrug (pen), 25' Füllkrug (pen), 33' Caci, 61' Reis, 63' Jae-Sung

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.19

1. FC KölnFC Schalke 0400

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.17

SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV10

88' Philippe

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

West HamSouthampton23

2' Matsuki, 11' Bree, 24' Walker-Peters, 34' Dobbin, 90+3' Souček

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.18

FalkirkKilmarnock30

29' McCarthy (og), 38' Murrell, 68' Stanger (og)

· Premiership, Scotland

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.17

WolvesWatford10

35' Armstrong

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.27

LincolnBurnley41

39' Hountondji, 45+3' House, 49' Ladefoged, 57' Jefferies, 67' Ladefoged

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.20

Racing SantanderEspanyol21

62' Jaén, 69' Belocian, 84' Zabiri

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

84%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

UtrechtPEC Zwolle11

72' Sörensen, 90+1' Duijn

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

86%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price then 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt10

80' Beier

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

79%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

ChelseaTottenham02

77' Penders (og), 87' Tel

· Premier League, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

Willem IICambuur16

9' Binder, 13' Hamache, 18' Baouf, 58' Binder, 62' Arguioui, 82' Zarrouk, 89' Ceka

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.20

LensParis FC21

45+2' Koleosho, 63' Thauvin, 83' Hazard

· Ligue 1, France

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

ADO Den HaagHeerenveen23

24' Trenskow, 51' Meerveld, 57' Thomas, 66' Trenskow, 72' Thomas

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 80% · Price then 1.17

Atletico MadridDeportivo La Coruna10

48' Álvarez

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Other picks (5)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.14

Short price: returns 14p for every £1 if it wins

Aston VillaManchester City21

6' Jackson, 52' Haaland, 60' Jackson

· Premier League, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 72% · Price then 1.29

QPRSwansea50

2' Kone, 9' Kone, 15' Kone (pen), 45+1' Dunne, 86' Dunne

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price then 1.31

Stoke CityBristol City00

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.23

ValenciaVillarreal12

38' Vayá (pen), 69' Freeman, 90+6' Mikautadze

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.26

AlvercaArouca01

24' Fukui

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

See the match

Trial leagues (10)

10 of 41 trial picks shown

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

1. FC HeidenheimEnergie Cottbus11

40' Copado, 49' Mhamdi

· 2. Bundesliga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC61

39' Zukowski (pen), 51' Zukowski (pen), 54' MacNulty, 59' Iyoha, 66' Simic, 82' Ofli, 90+3' Mergner

· 2. Bundesliga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

FC Viktoria KölnVerl31

45+3' Wessig, 71' Otto, 86' Duman, 89' Jakob

· 3. Liga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (29 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.15

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg21

4' Kother, 21' Sapina, 51' Carlsen

· 3. Liga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (29 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.16

Hansa RostockFortuna Düsseldorf11

44' Voglsammer, 45+1' Slimani

· 3. Liga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (29 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

84%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price then 1.06

Short price: returns 6p for every £1 if it wins

Boreham WoodAFC Fylde40

31' Brunt, 40' Golden, 43' Bird, 54' Brunt

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Solihull MoorsCarlisle12

45+3' Wodskou, 69' Feeney, 77' Ajiboye

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.16

Aldershot TownWealdstone01

46' Olomola

· National League, England

New league for us: our record here is still building (32 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

Stuttgart IIAlemannia Aachen12

12' Wiebe, 48' Rölke, 52' Bagkalianis

· 3. Liga, Germany

New league for us: our record here is still building (29 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

82%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Short price: returns 12p for every £1 if it wins

DordrechtVVV Venlo24

8' Janssen, 17' Clancy, 33' M'Hand, 50' Blok, 56' Riccio, 90+3' Lenz

· Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: our record here is still building (23 picks so far).

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

See the match

Our public record starts on 9 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , La Liga, Spain

Valencia v Villarreal

Final score Valencia 1, Villarreal 2.The pick won.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.23

4 of Villarreal's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Valencia win 30%, Draw 25%, Villarreal win 45%.

Why this pick

Valencia host Villarreal in the La Liga, Spain.

Our model gives a 77% chance of 2 or more goals in the match. Bookmakers give 77%.

The model expects Valencia to score 1.2 goals and Villarreal 1.7.

3 of Valencia's last 6 league matches had two or more goals; 4 of Villarreal's last 6 did.

Top factors

  • At home, Valencia have scored 0.4 goals a game and conceded 1.8 in their last 5 home matches.
  • Away, Villarreal have scored 1.6 goals a game and conceded 2.0 in their last 5 away matches.

Chances, prices and the pick are from our nightly scan, published Fri 23 Oct, 21:07 BST. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 23 Oct, 21:05 BST. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.