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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

See the full analysis

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

New league for us: no past results checked yet.

We've only recently started covering this league, so our picks here have less track record behind them.

VVV Venlo v Jong AZ

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: VVV Venlo win 50%, Draw 20%, Jong AZ win 30%.

What the data says

VVV Venlo host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie, Netherlands.

Our model gives VVV Venlo a 50% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Jong AZ 30%.

The model expects VVV Venlo to score 2.3 goals and Jong AZ 1.7.

VVV Venlo have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Jong AZ have won 3 of 6.

Top factors

  • VVV Venlo sit 3rd with 21 points; Jong AZ sit 11th with 13 points.
  • VVV Venlo have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Jong AZ 7 from 5.
  • At home, VVV Venlo have taken 6 points from their last 2; away, Jong AZ have taken 4 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.