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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Regionalliga - North, Austria

Wallern / Marienkirchen v Leonfelden

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Wallern / Marienkirchen win 67%, Draw 17%, Leonfelden win 16%.

What the data says

Wallern / Marienkirchen host Leonfelden in the Regionalliga - North, Austria.

Our model gives Wallern / Marienkirchen a 67% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Leonfelden 16%.

The model expects Wallern / Marienkirchen to score 2.6 goals and Leonfelden 1.2.

Wallern / Marienkirchen have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Leonfelden have won 2 of 6.

Top factors

  • Wallern / Marienkirchen sit 1st with 25 points; Leonfelden sit 11th with 13 points.
  • Wallern / Marienkirchen have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Leonfelden 4 from 5.
  • At home, Wallern / Marienkirchen have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Leonfelden have taken 1 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.