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Yesterday: 17 of 20 top picks won. See every pick

Today's picks

Today, Friday 16 October · 5 picks

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Starting in the next 3 hours (1)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

83%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price 1.11

Short price: returns 11p for every £1 if it wins

HeerenveenExcelsior

Last 5 games

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

Each of Excelsior's last 8 league matches had three or more goals.

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Starting in 3 to 6 hours (4)

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

86%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price 1.08

Short price: returns 8p for every £1 if it wins

Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln

Last 5 games

· Bundesliga, Germany

Each of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

77%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price 1.21

Le MansToulouse

Last 5 games

· Ligue 1, France

Each of Le Mans's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

75%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price 1.13

Short price: returns 13p for every £1 if it wins

FrosinoneSassuolo

Last 5 games

· Serie A, Italy

Each of Sassuolo's last 6 league matches had two or more goals.

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Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

80%win chance

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price 1.24

BurnleyWolves

Last 5 games

· Championship, England

Each of Burnley's last 10 league matches had two or more goals.

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Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Liga 1, Moldova

Zimbru II v Vulturii Cutezători

Final score Zimbru II 1, Vulturii Cutezători 0.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Zimbru II win 50%, Draw 21%, Vulturii Cutezători win 29%.

What the data says

Zimbru II host Vulturii Cutezători in the Liga 1, Moldova.

Our model gives Zimbru II a 50% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Vulturii Cutezători 29%.

The model expects Zimbru II to score 2.2 goals and Vulturii Cutezători 1.7.

Zimbru II have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Vulturii Cutezători have won 4 of 6.

Top factors

  • Zimbru II sit 7th with 10 points; Vulturii Cutezători sit 1st with 22 points.
  • Zimbru II have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Vulturii Cutezători 12 from 5.
  • At home, Zimbru II have taken 1 point from their last 2; away, Vulturii Cutezători have taken 4 from their last 2.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.