PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· United Arab Emirates - Division 1
Final score Al Arabi 2, Gulf United 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Al Arabi win 67%, Draw 19%, Gulf United win 15%.
Al Arabi host Gulf United in the Division 1, United Arab Emirates.
Our model gives Al Arabi a 67% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Gulf United 15%.
The model expects Al Arabi to score 2.5 goals and Gulf United 1.3.
Al Arabi have won 4 of their last 5 league matches; Gulf United have won 2 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Division 1, before kick-off.
Al Arabi sit 1st with 13 points; Gulf United sit 9th with 6. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Al Arabi; Al Arabi have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Gulf United | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Emirates Club | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Al Arabi at home and Gulf United away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 |
Al Arabi at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Gulf United away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Al Arabi | Gulf United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 9th |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 4) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 4) | 1.40 | 1.75 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Bataeh | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dibba Al Hisn | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Gulf United | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Emirates Club | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Urooba | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Palm City | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Dubai City | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| 15 | Ittifaq | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 8 |
| 7 |
| +1 |
| 6 |
| 1.50 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|