PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Saudi Arabia - Pro League
Final score Al-Fateh 0, Al-Ahli Jeddah 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Al-Fateh win 18%, Draw 25%, Al-Ahli Jeddah win 56%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchAl-Fateh host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League, Saudi Arabia.
Our model gives Al-Fateh an 18% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 56%.
The model expects Al-Fateh to score 1.0 goals and Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.7.
Al-Fateh have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Pro League, before kick-off.
Al-Fateh sit 15th with 3 points; Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th with 12. A gap of 13 in goal difference, in favour of Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Al-Fateh at home and Al-Ahli Jeddah away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Al-Fateh | Al-Ahli Jeddah |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 6th |
| Points per game | 0.43 | 1.71 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 2.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +18 | 18 |
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 16 |
| 4 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | – |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | 2 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | 0.50 | 2 | 3 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 9 | 1.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
Al-Fateh at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Al-Ahli Jeddah away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +8 |
| 16 |
| 5 | NEOM | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Al-Fayha | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 2 |