PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
Final score Aldosivi 1, Sarmiento Junin 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Aldosivi win 37%, Draw 29%, Sarmiento Junin win 34%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchAldosivi host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina, Argentina.
Our model gives Aldosivi a 37% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Sarmiento Junin 34%.
The model expects Aldosivi to score 1.2 goals and Sarmiento Junin 1.2.
Aldosivi have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Sarmiento Junin have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga Profesional Argentina, before kick-off.
Aldosivi sit 29th with 16 points; Sarmiento Junin sit 19th with 35. A gap of 12 in goal difference, in favour of Sarmiento Junin; Aldosivi have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Aldosivi at home and Sarmiento Junin away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Aldosivi | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 29th | 19th |
| Points per game | 0.59 | 1.35 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| P |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 18 | Gimnasia M. | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 35 |
| 20 | Talleres Cordoba | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 34 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 22 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 16 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano Cordoba | 31 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 55 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 55 |
| 3 | Independ. Rivadavia | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 52 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 28 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | 1.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
Aldosivi at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sarmiento Junin away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +19 |
| 51 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 51 |
| 6 | River Plate | 30 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 49 |
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 49 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 47 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 46 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 44 |
| 11 | Huracan | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 43 |
| 12 | Lanus | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 41 |
| 13 | Independiente | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 41 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 40 |
| 15 | Union Santa Fe | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 37 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Barracas Central | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 36 |
| 18 | Gimnasia M. | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 35 |
| 20 | Talleres Cordoba | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 34 |
| 21 | San Lorenzo | 28 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 34 |
| 22 | Tigre | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 32 |
| 23 | Newells Old Boys | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 32 |
| 24 | Banfield | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 28 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 27 |
| 26 | Platense | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 26 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 25 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 22 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -18 | 16 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | -28 | 11 |