PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Romania - Liga III - Serie 5
Final score Alexandria 1, Dinamo Bucureşti II 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Alexandria win 65%, Draw 22%, Dinamo Bucureşti II win 13%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchAlexandria host Dinamo Bucureşti II in the Liga III - Serie 5, Romania.
Our model gives Alexandria a 65% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Dinamo Bucureşti II 13%.
The model expects Alexandria to score 1.9 goals and Dinamo Bucureşti II 0.9.
Alexandria have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Dinamo Bucureşti II have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 5, before kick-off.
Alexandria sit 3rd with 14 points; Dinamo Bucureşti II sit 8th with 9. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Alexandria.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Alexandria at home and Dinamo Bucureşti II away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Alexandria | Dinamo Bucureşti II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 8th |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Alexandria | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Alexandria | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 7 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | 3 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | 1.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | 1.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
Alexandria at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dinamo Bucureşti II away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +5 |
| 13 |
| 5 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Cetatea | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 9 |
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Progresul Spartac | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 3 |