PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Russia - Youth Championship
Final score Almaz Antey U19 5, Krasnodar U19 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Almaz Antey U19 win 20%, Draw 17%, Krasnodar U19 win 63%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchAlmaz Antey U19 host Krasnodar U19 in the Youth Championship, Russia.
Our model gives Almaz Antey U19 a 20% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Krasnodar U19 63%.
The model expects Almaz Antey U19 to score 1.8 goals and Krasnodar U19 2.8.
Almaz Antey U19 have won 5 of their last 6 league matches; Krasnodar U19 have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Form, table, head to head and absences as of Fri 9 Oct, 00:28 BST. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyFacts that explain the pick. The model doesn't read them.
Worked out from the stored data, never estimated.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Youth Championship, before kick-off.
Almaz Antey U19 sit 7th with 38 points; Krasnodar U19 sit 2nd with 53. A gap of 41 in goal difference, in favour of Krasnodar U19.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Partly in the modelThe model uses league meetings from this season and last, moving expected goals by at most 4%. Older and cup meetings are context.
How these two have done against each other. Recent meetings count for more than old ones.
Insufficient historical data: fewer than 3 meetings.
Record shown: May 2026.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Almaz Antey U19 at home and Krasnodar U19 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Almaz Antey U19 | Krasnodar U19 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 2nd |
| Points per game | 1.58 | 2.21 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 10 and 10) | 2.70 | 2.30 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 10 and 10) | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
Context onlyRest and fixture congestion aren't in the model.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moskva U19 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 77 | 33 | +44 | 56 |
| 2 | Krasnodar U19 | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 36 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 | Zenit U19 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 32 | +36 | 51 |
| 6 | Akademiya Konoplev U20 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 37 | +14 | 44 |
| 7 | Almaz Antey U19 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moskva U19 | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 77 | 33 | +44 | 56 |
| 2 | Krasnodar U19 | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 36 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 | Zenit U19 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 32 | +36 | 51 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow U19 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 13 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 19 | +8 | 23 | 2.30 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 10 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (10) | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 20 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 10 | 2.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Last 10 (10) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 19 | 1.90 | 3 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (10) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 17 | 1.70 | 1 | 1 |
| 24 |
| 15 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 62 |
| 31 |
| +31 |
| 48 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 37 | +22 | 47 |
| 6 | Akademiya Konoplev U20 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 37 | +14 | 44 |
| 7 | Almaz Antey U19 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Rostov U19 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 24 |
| 12 | Chertanovo U20 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 23 |
| 13 | Ural U20 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 22 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod U19 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 64 | -35 | 19 |
| 15 | Rubin Kazan U20 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 15 |
| 16 | Fakel U19 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 13 |