PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Final score Anaza 0, San Miguel 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Anaza win 42%, Draw 27%, San Miguel win 32%.
Anaza host San Miguel in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12, Spain.
Our model gives Anaza a 42% chance of winning, a draw 27% and San Miguel 32%.
The model expects Anaza to score 1.5 goals and San Miguel 1.3.
Anaza have won 1 of their last 4 league matches; San Miguel have won 2 of 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12, before kick-off.
Anaza sit 14th with 4 points; San Miguel sit 7th with 7. A gap of 6 in goal difference, in favour of San Miguel.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | San Miguel | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Panadería Pulido | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 13 | Estrella | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Anaza at home and San Miguel away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | 1.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (4) | 4 | 2 |
Anaza at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
San Miguel away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Anaza | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 7th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 4 and 4) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 4 and 4) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 3 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 9 |
| 4 | San Bartolomé | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Marino | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 7 |
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | San Miguel | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Panadería Pulido | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Lanzarote | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brígida | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Tenerife C | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Estrella | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 1 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| +3 |
| 7 |
| 1.75 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| Last 10 (4) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
|---|