PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Belarus - Premier League
Final score Arsenal 0, Dinamo Brest 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Arsenal win 18%, Draw 26%, Dinamo Brest win 55%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchArsenal host Dinamo Brest in the Premier League, Belarus.
Our model gives Arsenal an 18% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Dinamo Brest 55%.
The model expects Arsenal to score 0.9 goals and Dinamo Brest 1.6.
Arsenal have won 0 of their last 6 league matches; Dinamo Brest have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Premier League, before kick-off.
Arsenal sit 12th with 23 points; Dinamo Brest sit 4th with 40. A gap of 32 in goal difference, in favour of Dinamo Brest.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Arsenal at home and Dinamo Brest away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Arsenal | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.74 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 39 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 21 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | – | – | – | – | – | +21 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 23 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
Arsenal at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Dinamo Brest away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +15 |
| 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 22 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | – | – | – | – | – | -34 | 14 |