PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Ireland - First Division
Final score Athlone Town 1, Treaty United 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Athlone Town win 47%, Draw 29%, Treaty United win 24%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchAthlone Town host Treaty United in the First Division, Ireland.
Our model gives Athlone Town a 47% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Treaty United 24%.
The model expects Athlone Town to score 1.3 goals and Treaty United 0.9.
Athlone Town have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Treaty United have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the First Division, before kick-off.
Athlone Town sit 7th with 48 points; Treaty United sit 9th with 36. A gap of 20 in goal difference, in favour of Athlone Town.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Athlone Town at home and Treaty United away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Athlone Town | Treaty United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 9th |
| Points per game | 1.41 | 1.06 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 6 | Kerry | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -37 | 25 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +37 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 52 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 49 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 48 |
| 6 | Kerry | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 48 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 | 2.20 | 2 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 | 2.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | 1 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | 1 | 3 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
Athlone Town at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Treaty United away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| 7 |
| Athlone Town |
| 34 |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +1 |
| 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | – | – | – | – | – | -37 | 25 |