PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Austria - Regionalliga - South
Final score Austria Klagenfurt 1, Bleiburg 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Austria Klagenfurt win 57%, Draw 24%, Bleiburg win 19%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchAustria Klagenfurt host Bleiburg in the Regionalliga - South, Austria.
Our model gives Austria Klagenfurt a 57% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Bleiburg 19%.
The model expects Austria Klagenfurt to score 1.9 goals and Bleiburg 1.1.
Austria Klagenfurt have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Bleiburg have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - South, before kick-off.
Austria Klagenfurt sit 2nd with 19 points; Bleiburg sit 12th with 9. A gap of 7 in goal difference, in favour of Austria Klagenfurt.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Austria Klagenfurt at home and Bleiburg away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Austria Klagenfurt | Bleiburg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 12th |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 0.90 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Velden | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Austria Klagenfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 11 | Tillmitsch | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Bleiburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Wolfsberg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Austria Klagenfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Völkermarkt | 10 |
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | 1.20 | 0 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | 0 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
Austria Klagenfurt at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Bleiburg away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +10 |
| 17 |
| 5 | Treibach | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Kalsdorf | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Wolfsberger AC II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Weiz | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | SV Lafnitz | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Allerheiligen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Tillmitsch | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Bleiburg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Wolfsberg | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 7 |
| 14 | Hartberg (Am) | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Gleisdorf 09 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 3 |