PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Wales - FAW Championship
Final score Bala Town 2, Buckley Town 3.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Bala Town win 34%, Draw 22%, Buckley Town win 44%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchBala Town host Buckley Town in the FAW Championship, Wales.
Our model gives Bala Town a 34% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Buckley Town 44%.
The model expects Bala Town to score 1.8 goals and Buckley Town 2.0.
Bala Town have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Buckley Town have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the FAW Championship, before kick-off.
Bala Town sit 8th with 19 points; Buckley Town sit 17th with 12. A gap of 2 in goal difference, in favour of Buckley Town.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Bala Town at home and Buckley Town away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Bala Town | Buckley Town |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 17th |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| W |
|---|
| D |
|---|
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 7 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Bala Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Caersws | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 16 | Treowen Stars | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Buckley Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 18 | Afan Lido | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 22 |
| 3 | Swansea University | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 20 |
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 10 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | 1.40 | 1 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 7 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 8 | 1.60 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
Bala Town at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Buckley Town away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +11 |
| 20 |
| 5 | Porthmadog | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 19 |
| 7 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Bala Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Caersws | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 11 | Guilsfield | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Caerau (Ely) | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 16 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 14 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 16 | Treowen Stars | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Buckley Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 12 |
| 18 | Afan Lido | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 10 |
| 20 | Llanuwchllyn | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 10 |
| 21 | Rhyl | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 22 | Pontardawe Town | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 23 | Newport City | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 8 |
| 24 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 8 |
| 25 | Caerphilly Athletic | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 8 |
| 26 | Ruthin Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 8 |
| 27 | Denbigh Town | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 7 |
| 28 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 7 |
| 29 | Llantwit Major | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 7 |
| 30 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 7 |
| 31 | llanelli AFC | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -20 | 2 |
| 32 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -26 | 1 |