PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern
Final score Bayern München II 1, SpVgg Unterhaching 1.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Bayern München II win 35%, Draw 26%, SpVgg Unterhaching win 39%.
Bayern München II host SpVgg Unterhaching in the Regionalliga - Bayern, Germany.
Our model gives Bayern München II a 35% chance of winning, a draw 26% and SpVgg Unterhaching 39%.
The model expects Bayern München II to score 1.4 goals and SpVgg Unterhaching 1.5.
Bayern München II have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; SpVgg Unterhaching have won 3 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Regionalliga - Bayern, before kick-off.
Bayern München II sit 10th with 15 points; SpVgg Unterhaching sit 5th with 20. A gap of 3 in goal difference, in favour of SpVgg Unterhaching.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSV 1860 München | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 5 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 9 | Vilzing | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Bayern München II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Eltersdorf | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Bayern München II at home and SpVgg Unterhaching away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | 2 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 11 | 1.83 | 3 | 2 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Bayern München II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
SpVgg Unterhaching away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Bayern München II | SpVgg Unterhaching |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 5th |
| Points per game | 1.36 | 1.82 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| 15 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 27 |
| 2 | Memmingen | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 24 |
| 3 | Eichstätt | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | TSV 1860 München | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 20 |
| 5 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 20 |
| 6 | Illertissen | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | Wacker Burghausen | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 17 |
| 8 | Bayreuth | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 16 |
| 9 | Vilzing | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Bayern München II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Eltersdorf | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Augsburg II | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nürnberg II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Schwaben Augsburg | 12 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 10 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 7 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 9 |
| 6 |
| +3 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 12 | 2.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|