PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Romania - Liga III - Serie 3
Final score Blejoi 1, Păuleşti 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Blejoi win 59%, Draw 22%, Păuleşti win 19%.
Blejoi host Păuleşti in the Liga III - Serie 3, Romania.
Our model gives Blejoi a 59% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Păuleşti 19%.
The model expects Blejoi to score 2.1 goals and Păuleşti 1.2.
Blejoi have won 3 of their last 6 league matches; Păuleşti have won 0 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Liga III - Serie 3, before kick-off.
Blejoi sit 4th with 11 points; Păuleşti sit 12th with 2. A gap of 17 in goal difference, in favour of Blejoi.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Berca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Blejoi at home and Păuleşti away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 8 | 1.60 | 1 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 11 | 1.83 | 1 | 1 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 0 |
Blejoi at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Păuleşti away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Blejoi | Păuleşti |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 12th |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 0.29 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.00 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | -10 | 2 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 10 |
| -6 |
| 2 |
| 0.40 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
|---|