Blida vs Koléa prediction, Friday 9 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Algeria - Ligue 2
Blida v KoléaHomevAwayHomevAway
Final score Blida 1, Koléa 0.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Blida win 41%, Draw 29%, Koléa win 30%.
Blida host Koléa in the Ligue 2, Algeria.
Our model gives Blida a 41% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Koléa 30%.
The model expects Blida to score 1.3 goals and Koléa 1.1.
Top factors
- Blida sit 2nd with 7 points; Koléa sit 22nd with 3 points.
- Blida have taken 7 points from their last 3 matches; Koléa 3 from 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Blida win
- 41% · price 1.22
Yesterday's picks
Friday 9 October
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PEIPSV EindhovenHEEHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
LENLensLYOLyon21
· France - Ligue 1
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
WHAWest HamQPRQPR11
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
BRASC BragaSCPSporting CP13
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchKoléa win30% · price 13.38 Over 1.5 goals72% · price 1.35 Over 2.5 goals47% · price 2.10 Both teams score52% · price 3.26 Expected goals (our model)Blida 1.3, Koléa 1.1 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Ligue 2, before kick-off.
Blida sit 2nd with 7 points; Koléa sit 22nd with 3. A gap of 5 in goal difference, in favour of Blida; Blida have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 1st RC Kouba12 points from 4 games · goal difference +10
- 2nd Blida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd MC Saida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 21st IRB Nezla3 points from 2 games · goal difference -1
- 22nd Koléa3 points from 2 games · goal difference -2
- 23rd GC Mascara2 points from 2 games · goal difference 0
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Blida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Saida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 21 | IRB Nezla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Koléa | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | GC Mascara | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st RC Kouba12 points from 4 games · goal difference +10
- 2nd Blida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 3rd MC Saida7 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 4th Usm El Harrach7 points from 4 games · goal difference +1
- 5th USM Annaba6 points from 3 games · goal difference +3
- 6th JSM Skikda6 points from 3 games · goal difference +2
- 7th NC Magra6 points from 3 games · goal difference -1
- 8th Azazga5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 9th MO Constantine5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 10th MSP Batna5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
- 11th Khroub5 points from 3 games · goal difference +1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat GC Mascara3 Oct 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away1–1
WWonv Sidi Benali26 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home3–1
WWonat Mostaganem19 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Away2–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv El Bayadh3 Oct 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home1–0
LLostv RC Kouba19 Sept 2026 · Ligue 2 · Home0–3
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Blida at home and Koléa away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Blida
- Last 5 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Last 10 (3)2 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 3 conceded · 2.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 5 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (1)1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 3.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Blida| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (1) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Koléa
- Last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 3 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5: none
- Away, last 10: none
Koléa| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
|---|
Blida at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Koléa away: Data unavailable.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Blida | Koléa |
|---|
| League position | 2nd | 22nd |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 3 and 2) | 2.00 | 0.50 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 3 and 2) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | RC Kouba | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Blida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Saida | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Usm El Harrach | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 5 | USM Annaba | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | JSM Skikda | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | NC Magra | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Azazga | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 9 | MO Constantine | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | MSP Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | Khroub | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 12 | MO Bejaia | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | WA Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Mostaganem | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Paradou AC | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Nrb Beni Oulbene | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Sidi Benali | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | ASM Oran | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Hussein Dey | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | WA Tlemcen | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | IRB Nezla | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Koléa | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | GC Mascara | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | US Chaouia | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 2 |
| 25 | JS Jijel | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Teleghma | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 27 | CA Batna | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | El Bayadh | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Tiaret | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 1 |
| 30 | CR Béni Thour | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Taghit | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 0 |
| Last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|
| Away, last 10: none | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
|---|