PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchFriday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
· Brazil - Carioca U20
Final score Boavista U20 1, Bangu U20 4.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Boavista U20 win 49%, Draw 27%, Bangu U20 win 24%.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the matchBoavista U20 host Bangu U20 in the Carioca U20, Brazil.
Our model gives Boavista U20 a 49% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Bangu U20 24%.
The model expects Boavista U20 to score 1.6 goals and Bangu U20 1.1.
Boavista U20 have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Bangu U20 have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Carioca U20, before kick-off.
Boavista U20 sit 7th with 9 points; Bangu U20 sit 9th with 8. A gap of 1 in goal difference, in favour of Bangu U20; Boavista U20 have played 1 more.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D |
|---|
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Boavista U20 at home and Bangu U20 away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Boavista U20 | Bangu U20 |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 9th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| L |
|---|
| GF |
|---|
| GA |
|---|
| GD |
|---|
| Pts |
|---|
| 6 | Madureira U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Boavista U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Maricá U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Bangu U20 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 7 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 24 |
| 2 | Fluminense U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +16 | 23 |
| 3 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 22 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 9 |
| Pts |
|---|
| PPG |
|---|
| CS |
|---|
| FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 | 1.17 | 2 | 2 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
Boavista U20 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Bangu U20 away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| -5 |
| 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo U20 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Madureira U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Boavista U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Maricá U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Bangu U20 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 7 |
| 11 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Volta Redonda U20 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |