PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchLoading picks…
Friday 9 October
4 of 4 picks won
The day's top picks as published. Money back and void don't count, and the filters never change this figure.
PSV Eindhoven win
Won
76%win chance when published
Average of 10 bookmakers · Our model: 55%
Price when published 1.23
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%
Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.14
· France - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
77%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Price when published 1.15
· England - Championship
See the matchOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
Won
79%win chance when published
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Price when published 1.24
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
See the match· Turkey - 1. Lig
Final score Bodrum FK 0, Keçiörengücü 2.
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Bodrum FK win 47%, Draw 28%, Keçiörengücü win 25%.
Bodrum FK host Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig, Turkey.
Our model gives Bodrum FK a 47% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Keçiörengücü 25%.
The model expects Bodrum FK to score 1.4 goals and Keçiörengücü 1.0.
Bodrum FK have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Keçiörengücü have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Lig, before kick-off.
Bodrum FK sit 14th with 8 points; Keçiörengücü sit 6th with 13. A gap of 6 in goal difference, in favour of Keçiörengücü.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sarıyer | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Manisa F.K. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Bodrum FK at home and Keçiörengücü away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 1.20 | 3 | 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 1.17 | 4 | 4 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 5 | 1.67 | 3 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 5 | 1.67 | 3 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 |
Bodrum FK at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Keçiörengücü away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Bodrum FK | Keçiörengücü |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 6th |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.83 | 1.67 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Sarıyer | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagümrük | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Muğlaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandırmaspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +7 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa F.K. | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Vanspor FK | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Esenler Erokspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -17 | 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 9 |
| 4 |
| +5 |
| 9 |
| 1.80 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
|---|